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  #611 (permalink)  
Old 06-04-2008, 03:49 AM
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Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
Because, as Santayana said, "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."
Yaaaa... But Cordi that would support my point.....


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I don't think so... it's an honest question. Were the terms imposed on Iraq by the Gulf War ceasefire too onerous to expect full compliance from them?
They were in the context of the previous mandate that you set up by comparing the post WWI treaty that was not considered relevant by all the world parties, at that time & in that background. Put simply if a contract is not agreed to it's not a contract. You were trying to compare an unresolved contract to the current post WWII contract...um...definitely history is relevant.

As to this current contract dispute, which was considered ratified after Gulf War 1 it could have been resolved in a lot of different courts...ways. The salient fact is that the party involved (the U.S.) in that court proceeding chose to disregard the court process (go it alone with the thinnest of justification without regard to precess & precedent) & well...go..it...alone.

By the way did you see my last...hi...response on the hi thread...hehe.
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Old 06-04-2008, 04:00 AM
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Yaaaa... But Cordi that would support my point.....
How so?

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Originally Posted by crowonapost View Post
They were in the context of the previous mandate that you set up by comparing the post WWI treaty that was not considered relevant by all the world parties, at that time & in that background. Put simply if a contract is not agreed to it's not a contract. You were trying to compare an unresolved contract to the current post WWII contract...um...definitely history is relevant.

As to this current contract dispute, which was considered ratified after Gulf War 1 it could have been resolved in a lot of different courts...ways. The salient fact is that the party involved (the U.S.) in that court proceeding chose to disregard the court process (go it alone with the thinnest of justification without regard to precess & precedent) & well...go..it...alone.
But just because Versailles was considered to be irrelevant by 1936, does it necessarily follow that it should have been irrelevant? Hasn't history shown that if Baldwin had followed Churchill's advice, a greater war could have been avoided by starting a smaller one?

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By the way did you see my last...hi...response on the hi thread...hehe.
I did indeed... it was quite the feather in your cap.
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Old 06-04-2008, 04:07 AM
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Oh, I forgot to respond to your court analogy, Crow. Once the Court decides on the guilt of the defendent, though.... isn't all that remains the carrying out of the sentence?
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Old 06-04-2008, 04:17 AM
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Oh, I forgot to respond to your court analogy, Crow. Once the Court decides on the guilt of the defendent, though.... isn't all that remains the carrying out of the sentence?
The problem as I understand it though is that the ones involved did not wait for the final decision...they chose to interpret an earlier decision that was still not resolved in the 'supreme court' or 'final decision'. They just chose to change the goal post & depend on the previous/lower court decision....

That would be 'my' interpretation....



As to your previous post...I will have to find another day to respond...because I'm getting tired....Good night Cordi & good conversing.
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Old 06-04-2008, 10:38 AM
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The problem as I understand it though is that the ones involved did not wait for the final decision...they chose to interpret an earlier decision that was still not resolved in the 'supreme court' or 'final decision'. They just chose to change the goal post & depend on the previous/lower court decision....

That would be 'my' interpretation....



As to your previous post...I will have to find another day to respond...because I'm getting tired....Good night Cordi & good conversing.
I see it differently Crow (wonders never cease, huh? *L*) - the defendent was caught in the commission of a crime, punished, and then paroled... and then he broke his parole repeatedly over 11 years and was seriously punished for it.
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Old 06-04-2008, 11:25 AM
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I see it differently Crow (wonders never cease, huh? *L*) - the defendent was caught in the commission of a crime, punished, and then paroled... and then he broke his parole repeatedly over 11 years and was seriously punished for it.
The part you aren't taking into consideration though is that when you break parole you are sent back to complete the term of the sentence that you were paroled from.
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Old 06-04-2008, 11:39 AM
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So you're suggesting that Bush, Sr., somehow wanted to go to war with Saddam for some sort of personal gain?
That is exactly what I am suggesting...I can't offer any evidence of anything directly but I have serious doubts that everything is as it appears because of the many ties that Bush has in the region...many of them financial.

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In such a situation, though, wasn't "doing nothing" itself a possible course of action? If the Security Council was paralyzed by a lack of consensus and would have drifted toward inaction, then what was to stop the US and UK have invoked the "final opportunity" clauses of 1441 to enforce the previously passed Security Council Resolutions? It obviously wasn't the intention of the Security Council to "do nothing" when it passed Resolution 1441, was it not? They may not have all intended to use force, but they definitely didn't want to do nothing.
The intention was to determine the next course of action...and yes, that may have included "doing nothing" depending on the determination of the seriousness of the lack of compliance...nowhere in any of the resolutions was the removal of Saddam called for...the underlying theme was to "restore peace to the region"...we neither did that or "nothing".

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Once Iraq was declared to be in material breach of the ceasefire, though, what exactly were those restrictions?
11 and 12
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Old 06-04-2008, 11:40 AM
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The part you aren't taking into consideration though is that when you break parole you are sent back to complete the term of the sentence that you were paroled from.
Ahhh... Thank you!

When the defendent broke parole, the terms of the original punishment came back into effect - when Saddam broke the terms of the ceasefire, the Gulf War state of hostilities came back into effect.

You see? I knew you'd come around, Areyou!
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Old 06-04-2008, 11:43 AM
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I think you're missing the point on the whole Baldwin/Churchill appeasement debate, though, Storman - of course Iraq 2003 wasn't on the same scale as Germany 1936, but the basic principles at stake are the same:

1) How far would you be willing to go to enforce International Law?
Germany of 1936 was in clear violation of the Versailles Treaty, just as Iraq of 2003 was in material breach of the Security Council Resolutions. Was use of force justified to ensure compliance? Or is the flouting of such instruments an insufficient casus belli? Is some other additional provocation required?

2) How do you know when you're at "the last resort"?
It's an accepted tenet of international law that use of force should only ever be a "last resort"... but how do you know when you've reached that point? So long as your adversary is willing to keep talking to you - as Hitler was at Munich - is there ever recourse to a "last resort"? If you truly want to give peaceful negotiation every chance to work, then how can you ever walk away from the table?

3) When is unilateral use of force advisable?
All through the 1930's, as Germany was rearming, Britain's two main wartime allies - France and the US - were unwilling to join in any use of force against Germany. The US was bound by isolationism, and France was paralyzed by the constant political struggles of the Third Republic. In short, there was no international consensus to act against Germany - if there was going to be intervention, it would have had to be unilaterally done by Britain. Should that have served as an acceptable excuse not to act at all?

4) When is pre-emptive use of force justified?
Is pre-emptive force ever justified? Is it only justified when hostilities are imminent? Or is it better to strike when your enemies are at their weakest? If you're dealing with a tyrant with aggressive tendencies - a Hitler or a Saddam - is it not better to strike at them as early as possible rather than wait until they have had time to gain strength and become aggressive?

5) How narrow is your definition of National Security?
Germany in 1936 wasn't a direct threat to Britain - it's military was still weak while Britain was a global superpower. Given time, as we've seen, that situation was to change. So should Britain have intervened before Germany became a direct threat, or was it only justified in doing so when it was allowed to become one? When Hitler went into the Sudetenland, and they started digging trenches in London parks, Chamberlain said the following: "How horrible, fantastic it is that we should be digging trenches and trying on gas-masks here because of a quarrel in a far away country between people of whom we know nothing. I am myself a man of peace from the depths of my soul." Should potential long-term National Security threats carry the same weight as clear and present short-term threats? Do you have to wait until the enemy directly threatens your own shores before you act, or is it acceptable to enter quarrels in "far away countries between people of whom we know nothing"?
I understand the basic point, Cord...and all of your questions above are pertinent to this discussion. And, of course, the correct answers to your questions are very situationally dependent. The optimal solution comes down to what keeps a nation and its allies and interests the safest and most prosperous. Of course, determining the "optimal solution" usually involves some future foresight....and we all know how easy that is.

Anways, I always felt that an American-led invasion/occupation of Iraq was going to be no where near that "optimal solution"....and I still very much feel that way. What would have been the "optimal solution" regarding Iraq back in 2003??? That's a tough question, Cord. It's usually easier to prove that something is NOT the solution than finding and proving something is the solution....Mathematics 101.
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Last edited by StormanNorman; 06-04-2008 at 11:58 AM.
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  #620 (permalink)  
Old 06-04-2008, 11:53 AM
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Ahhh... Thank you!

When the defendent broke parole, the terms of the original punishment came back into effect - when Saddam broke the terms of the ceasefire, the Gulf War state of hostilities came back into effect.

You see? I knew you'd come around, Areyou!
Exactly...which called for pushing Saddam from Kuwait...is that what we did by going into Iraq this time?

Quote:
Excerpt from "Why We Didn't Remove Saddam" by George Bush [Sr.] and Brent Scowcroft, Time (2 March 1998):

While we hoped that popular revolt or coup would topple Saddam, neither the U.S. nor the countries of the region wished to see the breakup of the Iraqi state. We were concerned about the long-term balance of power at the head of the Gulf. Trying to eliminate Saddam, extending the ground war into an occupation of Iraq, would have violated our guideline about not changing objectives in midstream, engaging in "mission creep," and would have incurred incalculable human and political costs. Apprehending him was probably impossible. We had been unable to find Noriega in Panama, which we knew intimately. We would have been forced to occupy Baghdad and, in effect, rule Iraq. The coalition would instantly have collapsed, the Arabs deserting it in anger and other allies pulling out as well. Under those circumstances, furthermore, we had been self-consciously trying to set a pattern for handling aggression in the post-cold war world. Going in and occupying Iraq, thus unilaterally exceeding the U.N.'s mandate, would have destroyed the precedent of international response to aggression we hoped to establish. Had we gone the invasion route, the U.S. could conceivably still be an occupying power in a bitterly hostile land. It would have been a dramatically different--and perhaps barren--outcome.
Once again...I ask you for the umteenth time...show me where any UN resolution called for more than the recourse Bush/Scowcroft say was authorized by the UN..."Going in and occupying Iraq, thus unilaterally exceeding the U.N.'s mandate".

Until you do that...declaring victory on your part is as absurd.
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