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  #561 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 05:59 PM
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Originally Posted by George O Well View Post
If France and Russia were violating the embargo, why didn't we violate the embargo? Or did we?
Some US companies did as well, but it doesn't appear that the US governments policy was to violate it. After all, the US was the one with egg on their face should Saddam be able to violate it. No skin off of France or Russia.
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  #562 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 06:13 PM
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Originally Posted by George O Well View Post
Pretty much. After 9/11, I would have leveled Tora Bora and called it a day.
Hundreds of U.S. Troops to Search Al Qaeda Caves

Sounds to me like Tora Bora took one hell of a beating... I'm not sure what more you could have practically done.
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  #563 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 06:17 PM
areyoushittin'me?'s Avatar
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Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
Of course Saddam was their "muscle" - and so long as the US was willing to offer them protection, why shouldn't the Saudis and Kuwaitis be willing to fight to the last American? But what about if Saddam was allowed to become so powerful that the price you'd have to pay to deal with him down the road itself became a deterrent to dealing with him? The key, as far as the Saudis and Kuwaits were concerned, was to have Iraq be powerful enough to be a safeguard against Iran, but not so powerful that the Americans would shy away from confronting him.
Exactly...they didn't give a shit about Americans getting killed they didn't want to see Saddam gone.

Seems there wasn't much to worry about related to Saddam...we saw to that when we bombed the crap out of Iraq and then weapons inspectors took care of most of the rest.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
Wasn't Bush on vacation when Iraq invaded? I was in Aldershot at the time, so I didn't see a whole lot of TV coverage... but from what I did see later, his initial reactions to Iraq's invasion were confused and contradictory. It seems to me that if he were ready and prepared for an Iraqi invasion, he'd have a plan ready to go.
He sure got ready pretty quick...I say he saw it coming and just needed to put together the coalition and resolutions...it would have been a bit difficult to do that prior to Saddam making his move, lol.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
It went way beyond the al-Samood missiles, though. Read Dr. Blix's January 27, 2003 testimony before the Security Council, Meeting No. S/PV.4692. There were still outstanding all of the key unresolved issues outlined by the Amorim Report.
I wish if you would cite a report that you would quote whatever it is that you feel makes your case...I appreciate the links and followed them but when I do and read,
Quote:
"The implementation of resolution 687 (1991)
nevertheless brought about considerable disarmament
results. It has been recognized that more weapons of
mass destruction were destroyed under this resolution
than were destroyed during the Gulf War: large
quantities of chemical weapons were destroyed under
UNSCOM supervision before 1994. While Iraq
claims — with little evidence — that it destroyed all
biological weapons unilaterally in 1991, it is certain
that UNSCOM destroyed large biological weapons
production facilities in 1996. The large nuclear
infrastructure was destroyed and the fissionable
material was removed from Iraq by the IAEA."
from the first link and then from the second,
Quote:
"The IAEA has been able, in the course of its eight years of extensive inspection activities, to develop a technically coherent picture of Iraq's clandestine nuclear programme covering the stages from the production and procurement of natural uranium compounds, through Iraq's development of enrichment processes, to the design and experimental work for the eventual weaponization of highly enriched uranium. Iraq's programme had been very well funded and was aimed at the development and production of a small arsenal of nuclear weapons, but there were no indications that Iraq had achieved its programme's objective. Most of the IAEA activities involving the destruction, removal and rendering harmless of the components of Iraq's nuclear weapons programme which to date have been revealed and destroyed were completed by the end of 1992. In February 1994, the IAEA completed the removal from Iraq of all weapon-usable nuclear material essentially research reactor fuel. On the basis of its findings, the Agency is able to state that there is no indication that Iraq possesses nuclear weapons or any meaningful amounts of weapon-usable nuclear material or that Iraq has retained any practical capability (facilities or hardware) for the production of such material."
Here's some more:

Quote:
UNSCOM has also concluded that Iraq does not possess a capability to indigenously produce either BADR-2000 missiles or assets known as the "Supergun".
Quote:
UNSCOM has supervised or been able to certify the destruction,, removal or rendering harmless of large quantities of chemical weapons (CW), their components and major chemical weapons production equipment as follows: (a) over 88,000 filled and unfilled chemical munitions; (b) over 600 tonnes of weaponized and bulk CW agents; (c) some 4,000 tonnes of precursor chemicals; (d) some 980 pieces of key production equipment; (e) some 300 pieces of analytical instruments. The prime CW development and production complex in Iraq was dismantled and closed under UNSCOM supervision and other identified facilities have been put under monitoring. It was pointed out that UNSCOM has been able to establish material balances of major weapon-related elements of Iraq's CW programme only on the basis of parameters as declared by Iraq but not fully verified by UNSCOM.
Certainly they show some questions persist but nowhere do I see anything that would lead to proof of any threats...if you do, please quote them.
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  #564 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 06:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
Why wouldn't they declare independence, Crow? Once you cut them free from Saddam's regime, what reason would they have to owe their allegiance to Baghdad?

Who are you going to negotiate with, Crow? Shiite and Kurdish leaders? Wouldn't he very fact that they had leaders at all indicate that they saw themselves as entities separate from Baghdad?
They are not separate now. they've had plenty of time to do so.....
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  #565 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 06:23 PM
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Originally Posted by Cordelier View Post
I'm not saying you should think that, Storman - I'm just saying that there was a price to pay no matter which way you went. It was, as Crow points out, a Hobson's Choice. Who's to say that war could have been avoided in 2003 without the expense of having to fight a larger war at some future date?
Hi Cord,

I agree with what you are saying here....every decision action has its upsides/benefits and its downsides/risks. In my opinion, given the action taken in March, the risks far outweighed the benefits. I felt that way from day one. The threat didn't warrant the risk. Is it possible that Iraq could have became a graver theat? Sure, but there are different ways to deal with threats...diplomatically, clandestinely, etc. I haven't seen anything that can convince me that US action in March 2003 was the best/optimal action....or anywhere close to it.

Quote:
Sure you did... but there's a big difference between walking the walk and talking the talk. What would you have done if Saddam had launched a dirty nuke at the Saratoga? Nuke Baghdad?!?
It makes the problem more difficult, Cord. No doubt. And if a similar situation happened say in one of the Stans, then we probably just point our fingers. But, we are talking Kuwait here...heart of the Middle East...lots of oil. We would have acted....I don't have any doubt in that.

Quote:
Ahhh... But you've got a substantial US military presence in South Korea - you didn't in Kuwait until after the Gulf War. You'd have to react to an attack in Korea - that wasn't the case in Kuwait.
And Kuwait has lots and lots of oil. I think that may even be a bigger motivator.

Quote:
The present Bush Administration is the most warlike that you've had in a while, and yet even they're still hesitant about mixing it up with North Korea. What makes you think any other President would?
Yeah, but Cord...it's always been that way with North Korea. Their addition to the nuclear club just adds to it slightly. North Korea is a far different situation than both Iran and Iraq....as the city of Seoul sits about 100 miles from the DMZ with thousands of Scud missiles just waiting to rain down on it. Oh, and not to mention, many feel that the guy is a few beers (Molsen Goldens) short of a six-pack.

Quote:
Stanley Baldwin was Prime Minister of the UK in 1936 and predecessor of Neville Chamberlain. He's widely viewed as "the Father of Appeasement", having set the policy foundations upon which Chamberlain was to follow. He was Churchill's arch-rival within the Conservative party of the 1930's.
Hmmm, everyone always refers to Chamberlain as the master of appeasement.

Quote:
And because Iraq was the country who fought most of the world's major powers only 12 years previously that made all the difference?
And lasted for about one month and got decisively beat up....clearly, no match. And Iraq in 2003 was less than a third of their strength in 1991. Germany on the other hand was the real deal sitting in the heart of Europe....very different situations, Cord.

Quote:
But Red China wasn't a member of the UN at that point in time and so it was outside of it's purview. Besides, even if the US sought to expand the conflict to China with another Security Council Resolution, it would have been vetoed by the Soviets.
Do you think bombing the bridges that spanned the river required a Security Council Resolution....in both reality and on paper?

Quote:
Again, though, that all depends on your assessment of Khrushchev's intentions.



*L* Everybody chooses Churchill, but they aren't willing to make the tough choices that he was. I think Churchills are rare, Storman. I know I'm not one - it's my tendency to handle a situation according to the circumstances at the time and not what they could be down the road. I'm definitely a Baldwin.

Baldwin saw German rearmament as no different from what any other country does... was that worth a war? So Germany violated Versailles and occupied the Rhineland... but wasn't that their own back yard anyway?

Chamberlain came into office and the re-armed Germany occupied Austria... oh well, Hitler was Austrian anyway, wasn't he? Then he occupied the Sudetenland...but what the hell? They're Germans too. Then he occupied the rest of Czechoslovakia. *sigh* Oh well, there's nothing we can do - they're already too powerful to fight without another major war... is Czechoslovakia really worth another war?

Churchill though... Churchill would have kicked Hitler's ass in the Rhineland, consequences be damned. And he would have been raked over the coals for it, too. But he would have done it. And you know what? I think if he were President, he would have exactly the same thing as Bush did on Iraq. Consequences be damned.

Still think you're Churchill?
Most definitely. I have no problem slapping down aggressive and dangerous nations...nations that take what's not theirs...be it Germany or Iraq. What makes you think Churchill would've have chosen to invade and occupy Iraq in 2003?
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  #566 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 07:00 PM
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I'm not sure what more you could have practically done.
But you believe it was practical to invade Iraq? Okay, I'll throw in Jalalabad.
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  #567 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 10:17 PM
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U.S. Cites Big Gains Against Al-Qaeda
Group Is Facing Setbacks Globally, CIA Chief Says

By Joby Warrick
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, May 30, 2008; A01



Less than a year after his agency warned of new threats from a resurgent al-Qaeda, CIA Director Michael V. Hayden now portrays the terrorist movement as essentially defeated in Iraq and Saudi Arabia and on the defensive throughout much of the rest of the world, including in its presumed haven along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.

In a strikingly upbeat assessment, the CIA chief cited major gains against al-Qaeda's allies in the Middle East and an increasingly successful campaign to destabilize the group's core leadership.

While cautioning that al-Qaeda remains a serious threat, Hayden said Osama bin Laden is losing the battle for hearts and minds in the Islamic world and has largely forfeited his ability to exploit the Iraq war to recruit adherents. Two years ago, a CIA study concluded that the U.S.-led war had become a propaganda and marketing bonanza for al-Qaeda, generating cash donations and legions of volunteers.

All that has changed, Hayden said in an interview with The Washington Post this week that coincided with the start of his third year at the helm of the CIA.

"On balance, we are doing pretty well," he said, ticking down a list of accomplishments: "Near strategic defeat of al-Qaeda in Iraq. Near strategic defeat for al-Qaeda in Saudi Arabia. Significant setbacks for al-Qaeda globally -- and here I'm going to use the word 'ideologically' -- as a lot of the Islamic world pushes back on their form of Islam," he said.

The sense of shifting tides in the terrorism fight is shared by a number of terrorism experts, though some caution that it is too early to tell whether the gains are permanent. Some credit Hayden and other U.S. intelligence leaders for going on the offensive against al-Qaeda in the area along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, where the tempo of Predator strikes has dramatically increased from previous years. But analysts say the United States has caught some breaks in the past year, benefiting from improved conditions in Iraq, as well as strategic blunders by al-Qaeda that have cut into its support base
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Old 05-30-2008, 10:20 PM
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Gee...

What held-back your enlistment, commie?
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  #569 (permalink)  
Old 05-30-2008, 10:36 PM
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Originally Posted by A. Crowley View Post
Gee...

What held-back your enlistment, commie?

I did my time. U.S. Air Force 1969-1973. Ground crew on the BUFs at Utapao, Kadena and Guam.

I hear you did some time in the Brownies until they found out you liked getting your fudge packed. Just think, you could have had yourself a career if they'd have had Don't Ask, Don't Tell back then.
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  #570 (permalink)  
Old 05-31-2008, 12:23 AM
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Regardless, the burden of proof wasn't on Bush to prove Iraq had WMD's - by the terms of Resolution 687, the burden of proof was on Iraq to prove that he didn't. Colin Powell didn't have to go before the UN with all of his charts and props and intelligence reports trying to prove his case... all he really had to do was to say "We know Iraq had WMD's - it used chemical and biological weapons against the Iranians and the Kurds - we know they were trying to build a nuclear capability. We also know that they haven't accounted for those weapons stockpiles. So if we know they had them and we don't know they have gotten rid of them, we have to assume that they still have them. What's the alternative? Take Saddam's word for it?"

What a load of rubbish. You're getting away with murder in this thread. The burden of proof is on the accuser in all known civilized forms of conduct. What Saddam should have done is referenced the American position on the UN's edicts and said "The UN is irrelevant". He would, after all, only be quoting and following the example of the world's greatest democracy. (Or maybe even "Go fuck yourself").

You are getting away with murder because of your comparison of Saddam and Hitler. The two cannot be compared. Saddam did a stupid attack on Kuwait and paid heavily for it. However he didn't have the massive high tech fighting force and competent and inspired army behind him that Hitler had. The persons entertaining this debate should not let you get away with speculating what Saddam may have done. All you are doing there is repeating the false line taken by Bush to create a looming threat that did not exist. No civilized court in any place anywhere would ever allow someone to hang the contentions you pose on such a laughably weak argument. Saddam was nearly 70. He was beaten, had no WMD, no army, and no real economy to develop any serious weapons. The real reason US invaded was to take the heat off its cruel embargo that was beginning to make us look bad for killing Iraqi children and making the Iraqi people live miserable existences - and PNAC. 'No-Fly' took care of any real threat from Saddam. The rest is just arguing convenient excuses for an aggressive and illegal invasion.

I especially like the way you blow away UN conventions, international law and other international restraints and agreements to reduce this whole thing to King George deciding what is best for Iraq and the world. As if he was some kind of world king and all those other institutions and laws didn't exist. While you make a well referenced argument it is basically simple in its contempt for the generally accepted international order of things and - yes - dishonest in its ignoring exactly how Bush went about it. You simply can't get away with that.

In 2002 the Israelis sent a document to Washington telling them that Saddam had no viable army, no WMD's, and was broken as far as being any threat. Your quote above suggests things that the US was already informed did not exist. That, no matter what you think, is dishonest.
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