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Old 06-25-2008, 04:11 PM
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Default REPUTABLE POLL: Obama-McCain tied at 45%

June 25, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama, McCain Tied at 45%Obama had held at least a slim advantage for most of JuneUSA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Americas Northern America PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update on the presidential election finds John McCain and Barack Obama exactly tied at 45% among registered voters nationwide.



Voter preferences had been fairly evenly divided for the past week, with Obama generally holding a slight advantage of two or three percentage points. This is the first time since Gallup's May 31-June 4 rolling average that Obama does not have at least a slim advantage over McCain. Obama's largest lead to date has been seven points. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

Since the changes from Tuesday's results are well within the margin of sampling error, it is unclear at this point if today's results represent a further tightening of the race. The last two individual nights of polling have, however, been more favorable to McCain that what Gallup has shown for most of June. -- Jeff Jones



Survey Methods

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general-election results are based on combined data from June 22-24, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,600 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
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Old 06-25-2008, 04:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cedenot View Post
June 25, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama, McCain Tied at 45%Obama had held at least a slim advantage for most of JuneUSA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Americas Northern America PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update on the presidential election finds John McCain and Barack Obama exactly tied at 45% among registered voters nationwide.



Voter preferences had been fairly evenly divided for the past week, with Obama generally holding a slight advantage of two or three percentage points. This is the first time since Gallup's May 31-June 4 rolling average that Obama does not have at least a slim advantage over McCain. Obama's largest lead to date has been seven points. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

Since the changes from Tuesday's results are well within the margin of sampling error, it is unclear at this point if today's results represent a further tightening of the race. The last two individual nights of polling have, however, been more favorable to McCain that what Gallup has shown for most of June. -- Jeff Jones



Survey Methods

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general-election results are based on combined data from June 22-24, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,600 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Here's a much better reflection of the polls:

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
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Old 06-25-2008, 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted by RASTAMAN View Post
Sort of tells me that using the polls are useless if they are that far apart.
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Old 06-25-2008, 05:23 PM
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Originally Posted by TakuanSoho View Post
Sort of tells me that using the polls are useless if they are that far apart.
It gives inquiring minds a much better read on what all the polls have predicted thus far.

Just providing one or two polls doesn't give a full perspective.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
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Old 06-25-2008, 05:41 PM
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Originally Posted by RASTAMAN View Post

Just providing one or two polls doesn't give a full perspective.

Or they call during the day when AMERICANS work?
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Old 06-25-2008, 05:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TakuanSoho View Post
Sort of tells me that using the polls are useless if they are that far apart.
Something is obvioulsy fucked up.

The state polls are probably the most accurate way of gaging the race.
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Old 06-25-2008, 05:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Still Dizzy View Post
Or they call during the day when AMERICANS work?
Don't worry, they will call you b/c you're unempolyed. However, just remember to pay your phone bill on time!!!
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Old 06-25-2008, 08:59 PM
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LiveLeak.com - responce to MoveOn.org ad attacking Sen. McCain
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Old 06-25-2008, 09:11 PM
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As educated beyond the 5th grade knows, the way to get an accurate picture is to take an average of the top 8 to 10 polls. But since this thread was started by a knuckle dragging chicken hawk inbreed shit for brains, it is not reflected in his original post

The dipshit will feel REEEEEEALLY stupid, when the next poll falls in line with the others, which is all but a statistical certainty…LOL



Quote:
steve k
LiveLeak.com - responce to MoveOn.org ad attacking Sen. McCain
Bwhahahahahahaha !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Once gain Steve K, proves he is an uneducated nincompoop, and manages to find the most laughable right wing kool aid to regurgitate, After his limp wrested chicken hawk ass swallows it all in a single gulp

Thanks Again for showing what unmitigated losers your ilk is, and why America has rejected your agenda
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Last edited by smart makes a comeback; 06-25-2008 at 09:17 PM.
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Old 06-25-2008, 09:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smart makes a comeback View Post
As educated beyond the 5th grade knows, the way to get an accurate picture is to take an average of the top 8 to 10 polls. But since this thread was started by a knuckle dragging chicken hawk inbreed shit for brains, it is not reflected in his original post

The dipshit will feel REEEEEEALLY stupid, when the next poll falls in line with the others, which is all but a statistical certainty…LOL





Bwhahahahahahaha !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Once gain Steve K, proves he is an uneducated nincompoop, and manages to find the most laughable right wing kool aid to regurgitate, After his limp wrested chicken hawk ass swallows it all in a single gulp

Thanks Again for showing what unmitigated losers your ilk is, and why America has rejected your agenda
Wow! That's really giving it to me, eh? Care to try and put a meaningful sentence together or would you rather bask in your own mediocrity?
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