Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton
This site currently shows McCain with 290 electoral votes but 120 are considered "barely GOP" (only 9 are considered "barely Dem"). They inlude Neb., Wi, Mich, Ohio, Va.,SC, Fla., NM and NC, all of them show McCain with a 4% lead or less. Though some are traditionally Republican, states such as Wi. and Mich., are traditionally Democrat and I'm confident will go for Obama come Nov. Just their 27 votes alone would change the electoral count to 264-263 for Obama and remember he puts other states in play as well. I would say that McCain's projected electoral vote edge is tenuous at best.
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Pretty sure barely Republican is better than barely Democrat, at least for McCain it is. Secondly, I doubt seriously that a few of those states listed as "barely" GOP are in play. Obama has to not only take away a Republican state from the last election, but he can't lose any formerly Democratic states. Not sure why so many of you have so much confidence on display, but I suspect it is an example of if you say it enough times it will become true.
Not to mention, in polling done in the past twenty years the Democrats were given a higher percentage of the vote than they really got. CNN recognized the fact in exit polls and in an office memo said they will not rely on them any longer. More and more people are going away from polls as predictors, and using them more like something to attempt to influence others with.