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Old 05-11-2008, 09:46 AM
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Flyhigher Flyhigher is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
90% in WV, 80% in Ken.? You really are funny in a childish naive sort of way. Is that like your prediction of a 35% win in Pa? Lets look at the most recent polls: In WV the last 2 polls taken were ARG and Rasmussen giving Clinton leads of 66%-23% and 56%-27% respectively. In Ken. the most recent poll is from SUSA and it shows Clinton with a 62%-28% lead. Good states for Clinton yes, but nowhere near 80 or 90%.

According to RCP Hillary currently trails in the popular vote by 736,579. Even if she receives 70% of the vote in both WV and Ken., because they are small states, Clinton will only pick up approxamitely 150,000 votes net in each state, leaving her still well behind in the popular vote. You are also forgetting Ore. which votes the same day (5-20) as Ken. and considering the last weeks Rasmussen poll had Obama up there 51%-39%, much of her Ken. will be offset there.

I know it must be rough for you accepting the death of your queen, but accept it, all the pundits do, this race is over. Clinton has no mathematical chance which is why the superdelegates have been flocking to Obama's side.
I think your math is a little fuzzy, Upton... Let's just see what happens in these two states...
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