Quote:
Originally Posted by Cizungu
But, more generally, with respect to the general election--
Republicans will vote for the Republican candidate, as they always do; Democrats will vote for the Democratic candidate, as they always do, notwithstanding changes of heart on the margins. But Republicans account for only one third of the population, Democrats for only a smaller third: the moderates in the middle will decide the election in favor of one candidate or the other, as always. And moderates are trending Democratic big time.
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I agree that elections are generally won in the middle. Although, without a doubt, the middle is trending Democrat, I think that Giuliani has an advantage that others in the party may not have in a general election over a Hillary Clinton in that he is closer to the middle than she is. A question will be if he can bring enough voters from the middle over. If he distances himself from Bush some he may be able to do this. Of course, his first big hurdle will be winning the primaries. I don't know if Romney will take some New England Republicans away from Rudy or not. I am not sure how popular Romney is outside Massachusetts.